Precious metals modeled with FutureQuant’s EDEG

FuturQuant has developed models for modeling precious metals production from mining regions using our in-house efficiency-discounted exponential growth (EDEG) approach. EDEG utilizes information about growth and efficiency to model production over time.

A case study utilizing Colorado’s San Juan mining region was presented to theThe Richard Robinson Business History Workshop 2016: “Business and Environment in History: Dealing in Nature and Ecology, Pasts and Futures” at Portland State University, 28-30 April 2016.

Annual gold production for the San Juans mining region

Annual gold production for the San Juans mining region

 

FutureQuant develops economic “sizzle” index

FutureQuant has developed an economic “sizzle” index, to provide an indicator of the level of economic potential in very large economies. While the Sizzle Index itself was conceived during the global financial crisis, it has taken several years to validate the predictive capabilities of the underlying approach.

The Sizzle Indicator has been calculated for the US economy (see below). An economic “heat” peak from the first dot com bubble is clearly visible at the year 2000. The housing bubble of 2005-2006 is also appears. The global financial crisis of 2008 resulted in a literal economic dive off a cliff, and extensive stimulus policy has provided a floor to that drop.

Sizzle Index 1993-2013

Sizzle Index 1993-2013 (credit FutureQuant)

Where are we at now? Ongoing economic stimulus has kept the floor nearly level, providing savvy investors and financial institutions breathing space to regroup.

FutureQuant has been able to qualitatively forecast the sizzle factor for a period of about 2 years in advance. So far, the forecasts have been valid, although we are moving in uncharted territory.

Welcome to FutureQuant

numbers on screenFutureQuant develops medium-term business, economic and political forecasting tools and analysis.

Our Efficiency-Discounted Exponential Growth (EDEG) approach captures trends often missed by other approaches. We capture the big picture in a way other methods can’t.

If you need to make critical investment or policy decisions that extend beyond two years, you may be able to benefit from our services.

 

Associated Sites: HistoryQuant | History Dynamics | Millennia Data Project